The Future Stars promo has been a staple of EA Sports’ Ultimate Team since FIFA 19, showcasing young talent tipped for stardom. With each new iteration, players are selected based on their potential to become the football stars of tomorrow. However, not every prediction has proven accurate. While many players have gone on to fulfill their promise, others have faded into obscurity, and some are still on the path to greatness.
This article takes a closer look at the Future Stars players from FIFA 19 through EA FC 24, assessing their progress and whether EA’s predictions were on the money.
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How We Scored the Players
To gauge the accuracy of EA’s predictions, we compare each player’s Future Stars rating with their current rating in EA FC 25. The categories for evaluation are:
- HIT: The player is within four ratings of their Future Stars rating.
- MISS: The player is five or more ratings lower than their Future Stars rating.
- STILL HAS TIME: The player is showing promise in real life, and their rating is increasing consistently in Ultimate Team.
We have not included players from EA FC 25, as it’s too early to make a proper assessment.
FIFA 19 Future Stars
| Player Name | Future Stars Rating | EA FC 25 Rating | Difference | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinicius Jr | 92 OVR | 90 OVR | -2 | HIT |
| Matthijs de Ligt | 92 OVR | 84 OVR | -8 | MISS |
| Houssem Aouar | 91 OVR | 75 OVR | -16 | MISS |
| Kai Havertz | 90 OVR | 83 OVR | -7 | MISS |
| Arthur Melo | 90 OVR | 77 OVR | -13 | MISS |
| Frenkie de Jong | 90 OVR | 87 OVR | -3 | HIT |
| Jadon Sancho | 90 OVR | 82 OVR | -8 | MISS |
| Alban Lafont | 90 OVR | 76 OVR | -14 | MISS |
| Rodrigo Bentancur | 89 OVR | 81 OVR | -8 | MISS |
| Trent Alexander-Arnold | 89 OVR | 86 OVR | -3 | HIT |
| Patrick Cutrone | 89 OVR | 74 OVR | -15 | MISS |
| Phil Foden | 88 OVR | 88 OVR | 0 | HIT |
Summary: Out of 28 players in FIFA 19’s Future Stars, only 9 were classified as hits, with a staggering 17 missing the mark. Notable successes include Vinicius Jr, Frenkie de Jong, and Trent Alexander-Arnold, while players like Houssem Aouar and Arthur Melo failed to live up to their Future Stars ratings.
FIFA 20 Future Stars
| Player Name | Future Stars Rating | EA FC 25 Rating | Difference | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Martinez | 92 OVR | 89 OVR | -3 | HIT |
| Erling Haaland | 92 OVR | 91 OVR | -1 | HIT |
| Federico Valverde | 91 OVR | 88 OVR | -4 | HIT |
| Sandro Tonali | 91 OVR | 85 OVR | -6 | STILL HAS TIME |
| Rodrygo | 91 OVR | 86 OVR | -5 | STILL HAS TIME |
| Gabriel Martinelli | 90 OVR | 83 OVR | -7 | MISS |
Summary: With 9 hits out of 32 players, the FIFA 20 Future Stars promo performed better than FIFA 19. Erling Haaland and Lautaro Martinez remain top-tier players, while others, like Gabriel Martinelli and Mason Greenwood, have not quite reached the heights expected.
FIFA 21 Future Stars
| Player Name | Future Stars Rating | EA FC 25 Rating | Difference | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansu Fati | 92 OVR | 77 OVR | -15 | MISS |
| Giovanni Reyna | 91 OVR | 75 OVR | -16 | MISS |
| Eduardo Camavinga | 91 OVR | 83 OVR | -8 | STILL HAS TIME |
| Bukayo Saka | 90 OVR | 87 OVR | -3 | HIT |
| Ruben Dias | 88 OVR | 88 OVR | 0 | HIT |
Summary: In FIFA 21, 7 out of 30 players made the hit list, with notable successes like Bukayo Saka and Ruben Dias. Ansu Fati, once one of the most highly anticipated players, has struggled with injuries, while Eduardo Camavinga continues to show promise.
FIFA 22 Future Stars
| Player Name | Future Stars Rating | EA FC 25 Rating | Difference | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedri | 93 OVR | 86 OVR | -7 | MISS |
| Jude Bellingham | 93 OVR | 90 OVR | -3 | HIT |
| Florian Wirtz | 92 OVR | 88 OVR | -4 | HIT |
| Ryan Gravenberch | 92 OVR | 78 OVR | -14 | STILL HAS TIME |
| Dusan Vlahovic | 92 OVR | 84 OVR | -8 | MISS |
Summary: FIFA 22’s Future Stars produced 5 hits out of 42 players. Jude Bellingham and Florian Wirtz remain among the most promising talents, while others, like Ryan Gravenberch, continue to develop.
FIFA 23 Future Stars
| Player Name | Future Stars Rating | EA FC 25 Rating | Difference | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala | 92 OVR | 87 OVR | -5 | STILL HAS TIME |
| Julian Alvarez | 92 OVR | 84 OVR | -8 | STILL HAS TIME |
| Gavi | 91 OVR | 83 OVR | -12 | STILL HAS TIME |
| Josko Gvardiol | 89 OVR | 83 OVR | -6 | STILL HAS TIME |
Summary: With a handful of players still showing potential, FIFA 23’s Future Stars produced mixed results. Musiala, Alvarez, and Gavi are still young and evolving, but their current ratings reflect the challenge of living up to early expectations.
FIFA 24 Future Stars
| Player Name | Future Stars Rating | EA FC 25 Rating | Difference | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren James | 91 OVR | 86 OVR | -5 | HIT |
| Cole Palmer | 91 OVR | 85 OVR | -6 | STILL HAS TIME |
| Lauren Hemp | 91 OVR | 86 OVR | -5 | HIT |
| Nico Williams | 89 OVR | 85 OVR | -4 | HIT |
Summary: FIFA 24’s Future Stars seems to be a blend of potential and slow-burning development. With 8 hits and 22 players with still a chance to shine, this year’s selections could still prove valuable in the long run.
Conclusion: A Mixed Record
Looking at the Future Stars selections from FIFA 19 to EA FC 24, it’s clear that EA Sports has had a mixed track record in predicting future footballing legends. Players like Vinicius Jr, Jude Bellingham, and Erling Haaland have not only lived up to their ratings but surpassed expectations. However, others, such as Rhian Brewster and Reinier, have been notable misses, with their careers not aligning with the hype.
As football evolves, so too will EA’s predictions. For the players still developing, there remains hope, and the next few years will likely determine whether EA’s Future Stars selections are ultimately hits or misses.
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